11-12 April
2022 - SITREP in Ecuador -
By Long time Ecuador Expat Dr. Richard Sauder PHD
"....As
most of my readers know, I live in Ecuador, one of the Latin American
countries that use the petro-dollar as the national currency, so the
impending collapse of the petro-dollar will very probably have a huge,
chaotic impact here. Moreover, Ecuador exports bananas, cut flowers,
chocolate, cacao, seafood, wood and other products to Russia, to the
tune of $900+ million per annum.
Exports to the Ukraine run at about $120 million. So the current war in
the Ukraine is, so far, threatening to shut down just over one billion
dollars worth of Ecuadorean exports, with consequent, negative impacts
on Ecuadorean labor, industry and balance of payments.
A billion dollars
is a lot of money anywhere, but especially so in a small, Latin
American country that is already reeling from two, very economically
destructive years of the CV-19 plandemic that have shuttered many
thousands of businesses for good, thrown countless thousands of people
out of work, and severely degraded the financial prospects of millions
of people, in a country that was already poor to begin with.
The longer
the war continues, the worse it is for Ecuador. If the war spreads and
engulfs the countries of the European Union, that will be even worse for
Ecuador, in that Ecuador has annually exported about $4 billion worth
of products to the EU in recent years. Ecuador's exports run about $20
billion per year, so if it were to lose 25% of its annual, export income
-- between the EU, Ukraine and Russia -- that would send this little
country reeling. It would be a staggering blow.
If the war also
spreads to the USSA, and potentially includes crippling EMP or nuclear
strikes that shut down the USSA's economy and infrastructure, then that
would eliminate another 24% of Ecuador's global exports, amounting to a
cut of about 50% in lost markets in the USSA/Russia/Europe -- or annual
lost revenue to the Ecuadorean economy of about $10 billion -- a
knockout punch to this tiny country, and undoubtedly the end of the
modern state of Ecuador. Unfortunately, with the war between Russia and
the Ukraine, this dire scenario has already begun to play out; exports
have already started to decline.
For that reason, I assess the
probability of severe social unrest and political instability in Ecuador
over the next 12 months to be extremely high. There is already a high
level of social discontent and economic privation in the country, a big
wave of under- and unemployment, a rising tide of street crime and
organized crime, as well as a troubling level of political corruption
and incompetence. It won't take much more for the country to erupt in a
national uprising that sweeps away the present government and replaces
it with --- what? I don't know. I live in Ecuador and I don't know.
These are unusual, unpredictable times.
The agricultural
production and food availability and price issue is a further,
complicating issue. Russia and the Ukraine are major, global exporters
of wheat and agricultural fertilizers. With Russian and Ukrainian wheat
and fertilizers off of the global market this year, agricultural
production and food supply in many countries are going to be very
seriously curtailed, with consequent, grave implications for food
availability and prices.
https://www.expreso.ec/actualidad/economia/agricultor-mira-opciones-fertilizar-124274.html
Food prices have already begun moving higher. To cite just one example, lentils that I was recently able to buy in bulk in the cholo
markets for 50 or 55 cents per pound, now run 85 cents to one dollar or
more per pound. In other words, the price has increased by 60% to 100%
in just a month or two. Lentils are a staple food, widely eaten in
Ecuador, particularly as a menestra.
As prices of food staples such as lentils climb higher, the effect on
the poor, of which there are millions in Ecuador, is going to be savage.
Millions of people in Ecuador live off of less than $5,000 per
year; a great many even make do with less than $2,000. It is not
uncommon in rural areas for a laborer to work all day clearing land of
weeds and brush with a machete for only $3, $4 or $5. Notwithstanding
that the basic salary here is officially, approximately $400 per month
-- though as I have observed many people fall well below that income
level -- out of which a household must purchase food, clothing, sanitary
and cleaning products, pay for transportation, electrical and water
service, gas for cooking, and other sundries.
Unquestionably, as
food prices spiral higher, millions of people will not be able to
afford to purchase an adequate or sufficient diet. To put things into
brutal perspective, in Ecuador about 25% of the infant population
presently suffers from malnutrition. As food grows more expensive, that
percentage is sure to climb higher. The upshot is that a lot of children
are going to perish from hunger.
But you see, it's not going to
only be Ecuador. Other countries in Latin America, the Caribbean, in the
Middle East, in Africa and elsewhere will also be slammed hard by food
price hikes that many millions of people will not be able to afford, and
also by greatly diminished agricultural production, that will
inevitably lead to much less food available at any price.
The whole world is going to
be rocked very hard, directly or indirectly, by the parallel: a)
collapse of the petro-dollar based, global, economic system; and b) the
outbreak and conduct of a very violent, destructive and deadly World War
III, which has already begun. The current war in the Ukraine is but the
opening skirmishes of a far greater conflict to come.
The
astrological alignments and numerological significance of 11-12 April
2022 point to very great changes just ahead. As eventful as the past two
years have been, the two years that lie ahead will be immeasurably more
tumultuous, so much so that many people will not physically survive
them.
I've said it before, but it's true, the death rate is
going to soar horrifically -- from famine, dire poverty, natural
catastrophes, warfare, the mRNA jabs, economic collapse, massive
infrastructure failure, disease and more. I wish it were otherwise, but
it is not going to be. This is the path down which humanity is just
about to plunge headlong. It's going to be dreadfully brutal......" -
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We Are Just Two Weeks Away Now
We
are a little less than two weeks away from dramatic events, easily as
impactful as the events of the last week of February, when the Russian
military entered the Ukraine in force.
The dates of 11-12 April
2022 are important astrologically and numerologically, and augur great,
world-system-shaking/shaping events to come. Precisely what will occur
remains to be seen, but at least part of the foundation and context for
what is shortly to transpire has already been set: a) Russia has in
recent days pegged the value of its national currency at one gram of
gold to 5,000 rubles, as well as announcing that b) as of March 31st all
"unfriendly" countries, which include the USSA, Canada, the EU, Japan,
South Korea, Australia, New Zealand and more will have to pay for
Russian natural gas and oil in rubles, not in petro-dollars or euros.
The response from the EU was not long in coming: the French President
announced earlier this week that the EU countries will not pay for
Russian energy exports in rubles.
And so the stage is set for
very big, near-future, political-economic events in April. If Russia
sticks to its guns, then the economies of the EU and the USSA have been
willy-nilly chopped off at the knees by the above mentioned, Russian
policy maneuvers, which in tandem amount to a de facto
roll out of a gold backed, petro-ruble, in direct competition with the
petro-dollar and euro, on trade terms favorable to Russia.
Either
the EU and the USSA will: a) peacefully acquiesce to this radically new
and different economic order that has been forthrightly declared by
Russia; or they will b) have to go to war to try to preserve by military
force the global market share of the petro-dollar and the euro. In my
view the situation is just that stark and simple.
In light of the
rabid, anti-Russian hatred and war fever that has overtaken Western
governments and populations in recent months (but which actually has a
long, violent, on again-off again, simmering history of centuries), war
by the USSA/NATO/EU against Russia is very possible. I therefore assess
that a notorious, false flag attack in early April initiated by the
USSA/NATO/EU, and falsely blamed on Russia as a fraudulent casus belli for a third world war, or some other, spectacular, violent incident, is an unpleasant possibility over the next week or two...." -
https://eventhorizonchronicle.blogspot.com/2022/03/we-are-just-two-weeks-away-now.html
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