Monday, May 25, 2020

☣️ -"The people are anxious to get back into the streets, they forget about the 1918 Spanish Flu 2nd wave that killed 20-50 million.

MON 25 MAY 20/20 ☣️ -"The people are anxious to get back into the streets, they forget about the 1918 Spanish Flu 2nd wave that killed 20 - 50 million. The fist wave only killed 3 - 5 million, let's see if history repeats itself."- 😷

<Listen up and take heed, when kill bill gates of hell, dr. facist faucistein, and mainstream media 'Ministry of Truth' CDC / WHO make a promise to deliver on something like a devastating #Covid1984 2nd wave, you can rest assured they will do everything in their demonically possessed wicked illumminati power to deliver the goods and results!>

I saw an interesting graphic - meme in Spanish floating around on the various Ecuador social media today by a Dr. from Jama, Manabi, Coast Ecuador S.A. - Medico General at Consultorio Médico San Antonio- Studied Magister en Salud Publica at Universidad de Guayaquil - Lives in Jama, Manabi, Ecuador here is a rough Spanish to English translation:

- "The people are anxious to get back into the streets, they forget about the 1918 Spanish Flu 2nd wave that killed 20 - 50 million. The fist wave only killed 3 - 5 million, let's see if history repeats itself." -
-------------------------------
History's warning about a 2nd wave of Coronavirus: https://www.wfmynews2.com/article/news/local/2-wants-to-know/history-spanish-flu-second-wave-coronavirus-warning/83-bd1dd578-9214-44d3-a575-ac4cfd5c1314

--------------------------------
History Repeating Itself: How This 2020 Pandemic Looks Startlingly Similar To 1918 Flu: https://khn.org/morning-breakout/history-repeating-itself-how-this-2020-pandemic-looks-startlingly-similar-to-1918-flu/

More than 100 years of scientific and medical advances have done little to change how the world responds to a pandemic. Meanwhile, a new study looks at how the 1918 outbreak helped lead to the rise of the Nazi Party in Germany -- one example of the ways such a crisis can dramatically change humanity's trajectory.

The Associated Press: Virus-Afflicted 2020 Looks Like 1918 Despite Science's March
Despite a century’s progress in science, 2020 is looking a lot like 1918. In the years between two lethal pandemics, one the misnamed Spanish flu, the other COVID-19, the world learned about viruses, cured various diseases, made effective vaccines, developed instant communications and created elaborate public-health networks. Yet here we are again, face-masked to the max. And still unable to crush an insidious yet avoidable infectious disease before hundreds of thousands die from it. (Woodward, 5/5)

The Guardian: The Big Picture: Spreading The Message About The 1918 Pandemic
his picture was taken in California in 1918, during the second wave of the Spanish flu pandemic that killed more than 50 million people around the world. In an effort to curb the spread of the disease, some states quarantined citizens; others made the wearing of face masks mandatory, at the same time as shutting down “all places of amusement."

According to a law passed in San Francisco in October of that year, on the day that state-wide infections passed 50,000, anyone seen not wearing a gauze face covering was subject to fines that ranged from $5 to $100 and the possibility of 10 days’ imprisonment. (Adams, 5/3)

The Wall Street Journal: New York Fed Paper Finds Pandemic A Century Ago Fueled Nazi Rise
Nazis rose to power in Germany in part because of dislocations caused by a mass-death pandemic a century ago, research published by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on Monday said.

The paper, written by bank economist- Kristian Blickle, examined how the German political system reacted to the influenza pandemic that struck the world between 1918 and 1920. Those events have been back in the world’s consciousness as nations attempt to navigate the coronavirus crisis. (Derby, 5/4) - ☣️😷👑🦠🧤🥽 <Time will tell> ⏰ 🕰 ⏳

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Saturday, May 23, 2020

Do we Expats in Ecuador need to be concerned about our bank deposits? - SARS 23 MAY 20/20

May 11, 2020, INSIGHT: 'Ecuador—Tax, Labor and Economic Measures to Respond to the Pandemic- ☣️ "The Ecuador government has introduced several tax and economic measures in response to the Covid-19 pandemic. With an Ecuadorean economy which relies heavily on the export market, Diego Andrés Almeida of Almeida Guzmán & Asociados discusses how effective the new measures will be, and what the future may hold.

The Future ⚖️

Alongside Citibank and Lazard Freres, the Ecuadorian Ministry of Finance and Economy, led by Minister Richard Martinez, Vice Minister Fabian Carrillo and Vice Minister Esteban Ferro, is working to renegotiate the national debt.

💰

On May 4, 2020, Ecuador started a period of “social distancing.” ☣️ New labor norms will be put in place in order to mitigate the risk of contagion in workplaces. As one of the three officially dollarized economies in the hemisphere, Ecuador will face a tough challenge as the economy will rely heavily on the export market to keep dollars flowing into the local economy. The Latin American Development Bank has committed to disburse an extra $300 million within the first two weeks of May 2020.

With the extra funds and the passing of new stimulus packages, it is expected that Ecuadorian exporters will be the driving force to rebuild the economy under a “new normal” that will include a change in the composition of GDP. Remittances sent by Ecuadorians working abroad will also continue to be an important force for the economy; however, predictions regarding the amounts are hard to make as the main countries of origin, the U.S., Spain, and Italy, are still suffering the effects of the pandemic.

With almost one year until the next presidential election, Ecuadorian politicians are scrambling to make new alliances........" - 💵

Planning Points-

Companies doing business in Ecuador will have to work on consensual agreements with their workers to mitigate future risks, at least until a new set of laws is passed, but they should be careful not to impinge upon the constitutional rights of workers, as doing so could only deepen social conflict.

Due to the cash shortage and the impossibility of printing currency because of dollarization, government, banks and companies will have to perform careful planning in order to mitigate risks.

International investors could take advantage of tax benefits: exemptions from income tax, reductions of import duties, application of extraordinary deductions to determine taxable base, among others.

Finally, it will be important to monitor the social unrest that might arise as a result of the passing of new laws and the potential eliminations of the last fuel subsidies in place.

Diego Andrés Almeida is Senior Consultant with Almeida Guzmán & Asociados.

The author may be contacted at: daa@almeidaguzman.com

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of The Bureau of National Affairs, Inc. or its owners.

https://news.bloombergtax.com/daily-tax-report-international/insight-ecuador-tax-labor-and-economic-measures-to-respond-to-the-pandemic

'JJinEc' <This (JMHO) does not necessarily reflect the opinion of The FB Group 'Expats Leaving Ecuador' or its owners. - I don't like to give good people bad news, but, since you asked. ...and bare in mind this is just (JMHO) there are other way more qualified Dr's, Lawyers, PHD's, Ecua Natives and dual citizens in this group that have been here for decades who have forgot more about EC than I will ever hope to know. ..so as i say (JMHO) >

>I have a close expat pal that had in excess of $50k in the cuenca coop that went under 5-6 yrs ago. The coop paid the $500 to $5k depositors off first, and He is still waiting and receiving quarterly payments to be made whole to this day in 20/20. 🎰 💸

We will know the bank holidays and economic collapse is close When we see wealthy Ecuas begin to withdraw large amounts and turn around and buy up property's and realty at distressed sale bargain barn prices at a fraction of pre-OCT 2019 Riots prices from property owners that are under duress. 👩‍🏫 > so, i will keep my meager realty listings active for when the time comes Ecuador Real Estate: http://ecuadorrealestate.org

...this gives wealthy Ecuas as a way out to protect their ass-sets from the greedy bankers and GOV grubby little hands. Many wealthy Ecuas keep their big money off shore in Panama, Miami, Swiss, Belgium, etc etc...

>EC has a tuff time to manage it's affairs in good peak prosperity times of $150 p/b oil, so now in a full blown titts up crisis mode, they will still continue to have trouble to manage their own affairs, 🛢🧯⛽️

...due to the ever evolving perfect storm / that is a current multifaceted group of Ecua-Factors (not just #Covid19) but 4 - 5 - 6 other major catastrophic failure events all coming together in a short time frame 20/20 up until the EC Pres. Sell-lection in FEB 2021> so good luck, God Bless, GodSpeedo, God Save the King at the Presidential Palace next year,> 🤴

<Hope and Pray for the best, but Plan and Prep for the worst, and so forth and so on cause we gonna certainly need it, as an old wise owl lawyer used to say: 🦉 'Govern yourselves accordingly, lol> ⚖️ 🗿>

Indian Chief Dan George: Lone Watie: -- "If I figure this right? Get Ready Little Lady, Hell is Coming to Breakfast!" -- The Outlaw Josey Wales (1976) <In regards to ECUADOR SocioEconomic Crunch time frame crisis - AS IN NOW!!!> https://youtu.be/e63Tk-5UKPc

<......so as i say (JMHO) I am just a humble servant shot out truck driver with half his brains knocked out, so I am keeping this typed version mild, Blind Man artist Ray Charles could see this coming from miles away. I dont wanna be kicked off of facecrack / farcebook, it is so much fun to pass the time while #ShelterInPlace, if you want hear how i really feel about it call me Bat Phone: WhatsApp: 593-98-828-8953,>

((If you find my You Tube channel helpful, interesting or entertaining, feel free to send us a lil sumpin sumpin for the effort, I gotta lotta more material and reports to share as long as we can keep the lights on and our hot smokin blinding 5mbps hi speed inet a functioning, My PayPal Acct: paypal.me/journeymanjack

-All the Very Best on Your Endeavors in Ecuador-
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Friday, May 22, 2020

US ARMY War College 'Strategic Studies Institute' #COVID19 negative effects to Last At Least 1 yr. or more- May 15, 20/20

👨‍🏫 <From the US ARMY War College 'Strategic Studies Institute' (UNCLASSIFIED) PLAN ON #COVID19 negative effects on Latin America to Last At Least 1 yr. or more- "It will likely extend for a year or more and be even more debilitating than now anticipated."> ☣️

'Special Commentary: COVID-19: Shaping a Sicker, Poorer,-More Violent, and Unstable Western Hemisphere- May 15, 20/20 😷 Dr. R. Evan Ellis, "The COVID-19 pandemic will have profound and enduring negative effects on Latin America and the Caribbean, significantly impacting the security, interests, and strategic position of the United States.

Department of Defense and other US senior leaders should begin planning now to mitigate or manage the consequences.

The effects of COVID-19 on Latin America and the Caribbean, as in many other parts of the developing world, will be far more significant than is commonly anticipated for two reasons. First, the virus will likely play out across the region over an extended length of time owing to a variety of factors discussed later.

Second, the pandemic’s mutually reinforcing health, economic, social, and political effects will combine to wreak far more havoc than anticipated in analyses that only consider disease propagation or effects on commerce. Together, these two dynamics of COVID-19 will leave a Latin America that is far sicker, poorer, beset by crime, violence, social unrest, and political instability than today.
It will also leave a region with expanded People’s Republic of China (PRC) commercial presence and political influence, even while being more resentful of it.

MORE PROTRACTED, DEBILITATING HEALTH EFFECTS THAN ANTICIPATED-
The public health crisis wrought by COVID-19 in Latin America and the Caribbean will not disappear with the reopening of the region’s economies. It will likely extend for a year or more and be even more debilitating than now anticipated. The great density of commerce-related human interactions between the PRC, Europe, and the United States caused the pandemic to take off there far more rapidly than in Latin America and other parts of the less-developed world.

The curfews, quarantines, border closures, and other measures adopted by some Latin American countries, as they witnessed the virus ravage Europe and the United States, delayed its spread and created the illusion that it would not affect the region as badly. Such hopes were mistaken......<To READ MORE of this report, e-mail me journeymanjack.com@gmail.com for complete 7 page indepth report in a PDF File format>

DR. EVAN ELLIS is a research professor of Latin American Studies at the U.S. Army War College (USAWC) Strategic Studies Institute (SSI), with a focus on the region’s relationships with China and other non-Western Hemisphere actors, as well as transnational organized crime and populism in the region. Dr. Ellis has published more than 170 works, including: China in Latin America: The Whats and Wherefores (Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2009);

The Strategic Dimension of Chinese Engagement with Latin America (William J. Perry Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies, 2013); and, China on the Ground in Latin America (Palgrave-Macmillan, 2014). Dr. Ellis has presented his work in a broad range of business and government forums in 26 countries throughout four continents, and has given testimony on Chinese activities in Latin America to the U.S. Congress. Dr. Ellis has discussed his work regarding China and other external actors in Latin America on a broad range of radio and television programs; he is cited regularly in print media in both the United States and Latin America for his work in this area. Dr. Ellis holds a Ph.D. in political science with a specialization in comparative politics.

Blog Posts

History Begins (Again) for the Pentagon - Geopoliticus - February 22, 2018

-------------------------------------

The mysterious death of a 35-year-old CDC commander who disappeared in February has been solved- May 23, 2018,

CDC commander Timothy Cunningham left work on February 12 feeling ill, and was never heard from again.
He remained missing for more than six weeks before his body was recovered in an Atlanta river in April. He was still wearing his favorite pair of running shoes.
The Fulton County Medical Examiner ruled his cause of death suicide by drowning on Tuesday.

The mysterious disappearance of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Commander Timothy Cunningham ended tragically last month when a group of fishermen found his body in a muddy spot on the Chattahoochee River in northwest Atlanta, and alerted the police.

"We may never be able to tell you how he got into the river," Maj. Michael O'Connor of the Atlanta Police Department said when the commander's body was recovered in April.

The only thing police said they found in Cunningham's pockets at the time were three crystals. He was also wearing his favorite running shoes. But there weren't any running trails nearby, deepening the mystery of how he got in the water in the first place.

On Tuesday, the public health worker's case was finally solved when the Fulton County Medical Examiner issued its final report. Cunningham's death was ruled a drowning by suicide, the medical examiner's office told Business Insider...." - https://www.businessinsider.com/cdc-commander-timothy-cunningham-death-suicide-2018-5
---------------------------------------------
CUMBAYÁ FRI 22 MAY 20/20 The Ecuador Report #COVID1984 DAY#65 #Quarantine #Quito #BraveNewABNormalWorld

25 views - May 22, 20/20 ☣️ https://youtu.be/FpVfxMWrEDw

((If you find my BlogSpot & Vlog You Tube channel helpful, interesting or entertaining, feel free to send us a lil sumpin sumpin for the effort, I gotta lotta more material and reports to share as long as we can keep the lights on and our hot smokin blinding 5mbps hi speed inet a functioning, My PayPal Acct: paypal.me/journeymanjack
Thank You,
Jack Abercrombie,
Cumbaya, Quito- ECUADOR S.A.
journeymanjack.com@gmail.com

Relocation Ecuador: http://JourneymanJack.com/
Ecuador Real Estate: http://ecuadorrealestate.org

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(the following would come later if you decide EC is for you)> Immigration, Residency Visas, Import / Export- Pets, Air Cargo, Vehicle & Home Inspections, Marriage Registration, Dual Citizenship, Dual Passports, Document Translations, Insurance, Healthcare, Law / Tax, Banking, Farm Land, Property & Site Management, Sea Container Shipping & Logistics, Security & Safety
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SAT April 23, 20/20 ☣️ 'How Do Repatriation Flights Work? Everything you need to know about these flights,

SAT April 23, 20/20 ☣️ 'How Do Repatriation Flights Work?
Everything you need to know about these flights, from how to get a seat to why they cost so much.- 😷
- "Although the bulk of international routes have been suspended due to the coronavirus, some airlines are still operating sporadic international service, known as a repatriation flight.

These flights, which usually have some very grateful passengers on board, are organized by governments and airlines to bring home citizens who were stuck abroad when COVID-19 travel restrictions went into place.

Nearly 64,000 Americans have been brought home from 117 countries on these flights so far this year—with more flying back every day. Here’s what you need to know about these unusual flights.
How do you find these flights?

Airlines are adding repatriation flights based upon demand. The U.S. Department of State is also chartering aircraft from U.S. carriers like Delta, United, and American to bring people home. Understandably, tracking down the schedule for these flights is vastly different than the process for regular routes.

Travelers who sign up for the Smart Traveler Enrollment Program (STEP) when abroad can receive notifications about these flights, which generally fill up fast. It is also wise to follow consular offices and the Department of State on social media if you're searching for a flight home in order to get the latest alerts about potential flights.

How do you reserve a seat?

The reservation process can vary, depending on the country or how many Americans need to get home. Americans in India, for instance, have been asked to complete an online form to register for one of the limited charter repatriation flights home. Passengers are being prioritized in order of vulnerability and notified by email to respond within a set time frame if they wish to travel....." - https://www.cntraveler.com/story/how-do-repatriation-flights-work?fbclid=IwAR3csCVoVbp5zT8FxXMQQ_Zt5ZIBMhnx5OFbwKK0rsZZiHIYt4OniPJ2RSg

Thursday, May 21, 2020

How Pandemics End An infectious outbreak can conclude in more ways than one, 10 MAY 20/20

How Pandemics End

An infectious outbreak can conclude in more ways than one, historians say. But for whom does it end, and who gets to decide?

When will the Covid-19 pandemic end? And how?

According to historians, pandemics typically have two types of endings: the medical, which occurs when the incidence and death rates plummet, and the social, when the epidemic of fear about the disease wanes.

“When people ask, ‘When will this end?,’ they are asking about the social ending,” said Dr. Jeremy Greene, a historian of medicine at Johns Hopkins.

In other words, an end can occur not because a disease has been vanquished but because people grow tired of panic mode and learn to live with a disease. Allan Brandt, a Harvard historian, said something similar was happening with Covid-19: “As we have seen in the debate about opening the economy, many questions about the so-called end are determined not by medical and public health data but by sociopolitical processes.”

Endings “are very, very messy,” said Dora Vargha, a historian at the University of Exeter. “Looking back, we have a weak narrative. For whom does the epidemic end, and who gets to say?”..... " - https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/10/health/coronavirus-plague-pandemic-history.html

Journeyman Jack In Ecuador